Will a multipolar world be Trump's legacy?
By: Rachel Marsden
PARIS -- It's obvious that U.S. President Donald Trump 's interests closely
adhere to those of his favorite programs on Fox News . I should know -- I used
to co-host a Fox News show.
When I asked at one point why we weren't discussing the Iraq war on air, a
senior Fox executive told me that it depressed viewers because it wasn't exactly
a success story. So did history, apparently. Former Fox News chief Roger Ailes ,
who died in 2017, once asked that I never again mention the Peace of Westphalia
on the show.
While Trump has access to the kind of global intelligence many of us can only
dream about, his Twitter rants suggest that he has a penchant for the kind of
domestic issues that Fox fire-hoses out to its audience on a daily basis. But
Trump's disinterest in global affairs and his focus on making America great
again might actually improve the entire world.
Over the weekend, two Western leaders (French President Emmanuel Macron and
German Chancellor Angela Merkel ), Russia's leader (President Vladimir Putin )
and the leader of the country representing a bridge between the eastern and
western spheres (Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan ) met in Istanbul to
hash out plans for post-conflict Syria. When they emerged, they awkwardly held
hands for a photo. U.S. representation was nowhere to be found.
When was the last time America wasn't involved in a foreign country's postwar
plans -- particularly when the U.S. played a key role in inciting that conflict
in the first place?
And while there's a low-key debate going on in America about whether to leave
Afghanistan after 17 years of military intervention, one gets the impression
that Trump's interest in the war is directly proportional to its coverage on
"Fox & Friends" -- meaning relatively minimal. This doesn't mean that the
conflict isn't being resolved. As with the Syrian conflict, it's just moving
ahead through a more multipolar approach involving other countries.
The solutions in Syria and Afghanistan are political rather than military
anyway. The lack of a clear military objective and the constant moving of
goalposts is exactly why American allies long ago looked at their watches and
realized that it was time for their troops to bail out.
While America is trying to bring various parties in the Afghan conflict to the
table, those efforts are undermined by a historical lack of trust in the U.S. as
an honest broker. That's where the Shanghai Cooperation Organization comes in.
Spearheaded by China and Russia, and focused on security, counterterrorism and
economic growth, the SCO admitted Pakistan and India as full members last year.
And it's through a grand bargain with Pakistan (which backs the Taliban) that
progress could very well be made in Afghanistan.
America has a part to play, too. It's just not the only part, or even the lead
role.
Trump's national security adviser, John Bolton, an interventionist hawk, seems
to be echoing this sentiment -- whether or not he realizes it. In an interview
with Reuters last week after a visit to Moscow, Bolton said that the United
States wants to hold strategic talks with Russia about what Reuters described as
"China's belligerent activity."
The notion that America would need Russia to help contain China is such a
foreign concept to the Washington establishment that the Reuters interview
prompted a reaction on Twitter from Obama-era Russian Ambassador Michael McFaul:
"Oh for heavens [sic] sake."
During Bolton's meeting with Putin last week, the Russian president made a joke
about U.S. hostility, according to the Russian news service RT.
"As far as I remember," Putin reportedly said, "the U.S. coat of arms features a
bald eagle that holds 13 arrows in one talon and an olive branch in another,
which is a symbol of a peace-loving policy. I have a question. Looks like your
eagle has already eaten all the olives; are the arrows all that is left?"
"But I didn't bring any more olives," Bolton replied.
"That's what I thought," Putin said.
Maybe Putin can find some olive branches for Bolton -- perhaps in relation to
Bolton's favorite obsession, Iran. Unlike Bolton, the average American doesn't
want war with Iran. Nor can the U.S. afford to start another conflict in the
Middle East when it hasn't been able to resolve all of the conflicts that Bolton
and his hawkish pals started. Still, Russia is such a close Iranian ally that if
there are some cards that Bolton wants to play in an attempt to score some
concessions from Iran, then Russia could certainly find a way to deal him into
the game.
It seems that putting America first means sitting in the back seat watching "Fox
& Friends" while letting other nations take the wheel in global affairs. But if
that's what it takes to arrive at the final destination without driving off the
road somewhere in the Middle East, so be it.
COPYRIGHT 2018 RACHEL MARSDEN