France lost Africa. Macron just can't accept it
By: Rachel Marsden
There's no way to put a good face on it: Paris has been unceremoniously dumped by Niger
In a wide-ranging interview last weekend that aired as much of France was
conveniently glued to the Paris Saint Germain vs. Olympique Marseille football
match, President Emmanuel Macron was asked about his recent bad breakup. He was
only too happy to spill all his feelings about the relationship, like he was
talking with Oprah Winfrey rather than TV news anchors.
He said that France was ending its military cooperation with Niger and
repatriating France’s ambassador to Niamey and around 1,500 troops. It’s about
time, since he was already dumped a month ago and Niger has been threatening to
get France’s tent off its lawn.
France’s military presence in some of its former African colonies, including
Niger, was to combat terrorism, he said, adding that without France’s presence,
“most of these countries would have already fallen prey to territorial
caliphates and jihadists.”
Indeed, thank goodness for France, whose anti-terrorist mission was such a
resounding success that the UN’s own peace operations advised the Security
Council in May 2023 that “insecurity in the tri-border area of Burkina Faso,
Mali and Niger continues to grow.” ‘Rampant jihadists are spreading chaos and
misery in the Sahel’, a headline in The Economist read in April, while the
Wilson Center reported that same month that “The Sahel Now Accounts for 43% of
Global Terrorism Deaths.” All of that was going on right under France’s nose.
Rather than Macron’s suggestion that France has helped prevent these nations
from becoming caliphates, there’s actually stronger evidence to suggest that’s
precisely the direction they were heading under French oversight. If Macron is
talking about Boko Haram, then the solution was not to invade and destabilize
Libya, because Boko Haram has since benefited from looted Libyan weapons and, in
2016, Washington officials were warning of Boko Haram fighters joining up with
ISIS in Libya. That’s two years after France started Operation Barkhane, its
effort to combat Islamist insurgents in the Sahel. A lot of good that was doing.
The French must have been imposing the same brand of modern-day French
discipline that results in kids across France periodically acting out over some
issue du jour and smashing up cities.
Either Macron is caught in an illusion or he thinks that the French and African
people are – or that they are at least clueless enough to think that things were
looking up for these countries right up until Paris was sent packing. If that
was the case – if the lives of the locals were truly improving – then where are
the masses in the streets protesting in opposition to France’s withdrawal?
Macron was also careful to stress that France was only there at the behest of
these countries. But what if they had dared to say ‘non’, particularly in the
wake of the chilling effect of the French-led NATO intervention and coup d’état
in Libya that led to the death of its leader, Muammar Gaddafi, in 2011? With
these Francophone African nations serving as Paris’ stockrooms for everything
from critical uranium that powers its nuclear plants to black gold that fuels
French industry, is it any wonder that the leaders of these countries, until
now, just happen to be excessively accommodating to these French interests –
lest they find themselves ‘Gaddafi’d’.
But already, with the changes in management of these countries, the French press
and industry representatives have been actively wondering about the fate of
French companies in the Sahel. Paris has long maintained enough control to at
least keep the resources flowing. But if France ever had any concern for the
locals beyond that, it would have shown it by now.
But Macron didn’t stop there with the spin. “We are not responsible for the
political life of these countries,” he said. In that case, why is France
constantly trying to dictate to African nations who they should or shouldn’t be
partners with, most recently pressuring them to ditch Russia and China?
And why did Macron push for African countries, uninterested in playing the
West’s anti-Russian sanctions game, to take a side in the Ukraine conflict
during a visit to Cameroon over the summer, if he believed in staying out of
African political life? And if France is so hands-off with Africa’s internal
affairs, why did Burkina Faso just a few days ago accuse Paris of blocking
military supplies to the landlocked country when it’s supposed to be fighting
the same insurgencies that Paris claims it had been there to help quash?
Or why did Macron attempt to revamp his African strategy in February by
rebranding French military bases as ‘academies’, and having a European team
collaborate with ‘civil society’ players in Africa? Nothing says
non-interference like funding NGOs inside foreign countries.
We’re not there to participate in coup d’états or to interfere,” Macron said.
That may be true when Paris likes the guy in charge and wants him to stay there
to protect French interests. Otherwise, it’s pressure on France’s ECOWAS
(Economic Community of West African States) pals to do a counter-coup, as Macron
appeared to suggest during a speech to French ambassadors. “If ECOWAS abandons [Nigerien]
President Bazoum, I think that all the presidents of the region are more or less
aware of the fate that will be reserved for them,” Macron declared, as president
of the country that has literally overthrown African leaders in the past.
Macron didn’t have anything to say about the role of Paris’ Washington allies,
who trained the Nigerien coup leaders both in-country and in the US, and whose
troops not only remain in Niger but have resumed intelligence and reconnaissance
missions, according to the Pentagon earlier this month.
While Macron seethes at Russia for replacing France, how does he reconcile the
fact that Moscow hasn’t also ‘replaced’ Washington? Is he going to accuse Moscow
and Washington of colluding now, too? Maybe these African countries haven’t yet
figured out exactly what they want, and with whom, although Burkina Faso, Mali,
and Niger have already teamed up for their own anti-terrorism missions in a
mutual defense pact. That, too, is being ‘blamed’ on Russia. In any case,
sticking to the same broken relationship with Paris clearly wasn’t working.
And it looks like Macron, having been dumped, is caught somewhere between the
denial and acceptance stages of grief.
COPYRIGHT 2023 RACHEL MARSDEN